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Matthieu Pavon became the first Frenchman to win on the PGA Tour since it was established in 1929 when he won the Farmers Insurance Open last year, and he will try to defend his title this year. Pavon was playing in his 11th PGA Tour event and won by one shot at Torrey Pines in San Diego, sealing the victory with a birdie on the final hole. He is a 120-1 longshot to repeat according to the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds. Ludvig Åberg and Hideki Matsuyama are 10-1 co-favorites atop the PGA odds board, followed by Tony Finau (20-1) and Sungjae Im (20-1). The first-round tee times begin at 11:50 a.m. ET on Wednesday.
Jason Day, who won this event in 2015 and 2018, is 28-1 to finish on top of the leaderboard. Day is listed at +400 (risk $100 to win $400) to finish inside the top five and +210 to finish inside the top 10. Should you include Day in your 2025 Farmers Insurance Open bets? Before making any 2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, you need to see the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald.
McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in 2022 after stops at NBC Sports and RyderCup.com. Covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis between the PGA Tour, DP World Tour and more. Featured weekly on the Early Wedge, he gave out numerous winners in 2024, including Jake Knapp (50-1) at the Mexico Open and Xander Schauffele (20-1) at the PGA Championship. He already nailed Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot in The American Express last week. Anyone who followed his betting picks could have been way up on betting apps and sportsbooks.
Now, McDonald has focused his attention on the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open field and locked in his best bets and top longshot sleepers. You can only see them here.
Top 2025 Farmers Insurance Open expert picks
We can tell you that McDonald loves the value of Keegan Bradley at +2200 (risk $100 to win $2,200). The American has been a mainstay in this event in recent years and has posted three top-five finishes since 2017, including a runner-up showing in 2023. Bradley is off to a strong start this season, contending at the Sony Open before playing well at The Sentry in back-to-back weeks.
He had a week off last week to focus on an event where he has been successful in previous years, making this a perfect opportunity for him to pick up his first win of the season. Bradley has gained more than 12 strokes on the field at this tournament since 2019, and his elite long iron play makes him an ideal fit for this course. McDonald thinks Bradley can break through for his first win of the season, creating value as a longshot.
“He should be refreshed following his week off and rearing to go at a golf course where he has found plenty of good results,” McDonald told SportsLine. “Since 2017, Bradley has nabbed three top-five finishes at this golf tournament, including a runner-up result to Homa in 2023. The captain has everything clicking in his game and knows how to win down the stretch on Sunday.” See who else to back here.
How to make 2025 Farmers Insurance Open golf picks
McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open and has also selected an epic longshot who’s priced over 50-1. This golfer “is flying under the radar for some odd reason.” You can only see the picks at SportsLine.
So which players should you target for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open, and which golfer could bring a huge payday of more than 50-1? Check out the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald’s top picks for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open, all from the expert who gave out Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express.
2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds, field
See the full Farmers Insurance Open picks, best bets and predictions here.
Ludvig Aberg +1000
Hideki Matsuyama +1000
Tony Finau +2000
Sungjae Im +2000
Keegan Bradley +2200
Will Zalatoris +2200 W/D
Max Greyserman +2500
Jason Day +2800
Sahith Theegala +3000
Maverick McNealy +3000
Shane Lowry +3500
Taylor Pendrith +3500
Kurt Kitayama +3500
Max Homa +3500
Luke Clanton +4500
Akshay Bhatia +4500
Si Woo Kim +4500
Aaron Rai +5500
Ben Griffin +5500
J.J. Spaun +5500
Beau Hossler +5500
Harry Hall +6000
Mark Hubbard +6000
Thomas Detry +6500
Stephan Jaeger +6500
Michael Thorbjornsen +7000
Daniel Berger +7000
Justin Rose +7000
Mac Meissner +7500
Niklas Norgaard +7500
Doug Ghim +7500
Austin Eckroat +7500
Charley Hoffman +8000
Patrick Fishburn +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Jhonattan Vegas +8000
Matt Wallace +9000
Eric Cole +9000
Samuel Stevens +10000
Jackson Koivun +10000
Kevin Yu +10000
Harris English +10000
Michael Kim +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Alex Smalley +10000
Taylor Moore +11000
Justin Lower +11000
Rico Hoey +11000
Joe Highsmith +11000
Lee Hodges +12000
Joseph Bramlett +12000
Matthieu Pavon +12000
Thriston Lawrence +12000
Andrew Novak +15000
Kevin Roy +15000
Frankie Capan +15000
Carson Young +15000
Victor Perez +15000
Henrik Norlander +15000
