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Past performance is often seen as the best predictor of future results, and there are recent NFL betting trends you should be cognizant of to assist with AFC and NFC Championship Game picks. The Under has hit in last three AFC Championship Games, even with an overtime game included, while the home team has prevailed in the last three NFC Championship Games. Rookie quarterbacks, like Jayden Daniels, have historically struggled when reaching the Championship Round NFL schedule, as they are 0-4 against the spread since 2000. They have also lost all four of those games outright.
All of the Championship Round NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Championship Round NFL picks now. Plus, get the model’s full Championship Round NFL score predictions here.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Championship Round of the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-15 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year, a stunning 67% success rate. Longer term, it is on a 211-143 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-36 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Championship Round NFL odds and NFL betting lines and locked in betting picks for every NFL matchup. You can find them all here.
Where to bet NFL games
Below is a comparison of the various welcome promotions available along with reviews of the major sportsbooks and their current promo offers.
Sunday, Jan. 26
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5, 48)
Time: 3 p.m. ET
Channel: FOX
The teams split their two regular-season matchups, with the home team both winning and covering in each. Over their last five matchups, Philadelphia has covered just once, while the Over has gone 4-1 over this stretch. However, the Eagles are 4-1 versus the spread over their last five home games of this season. Meanwhile, rookie QBs are 0-4 both straight-up and ATS in the Championship Round since 2000, with a 15-point average margin of defeat.
Model pick: The SportsLine model, which is on a 211-143 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-36 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022, says one side of the total hits in well over 50% of simulations. See which side of the total is a must-back here.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5, 48)
Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS/Paramount+
The Bills defeated the Chiefs at home, 30-21, in Week 11, which is Kansas City’s only defeat over Patrick Mahomes‘ last 22 starts. Josh Allen is now 4-0 both straight-up and versus the spread over his last four regular-season games versus Kansas City. However, Mahomes is 3-0 ATS and straight-up over the three postseason matchups versus Buffalo. Travis Kelce has gone Over with his receiving yards prop in 14 straight postseason games.
Model pick: The SportsLine model, which is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. Get the NFL projections here.
